Elizabeth Warren Has the Momentum Over Scott Brown with Only One Week to Go

Professor Elizabeth Warren has seized the momentum in her race to unseat freshman Republican Sen. Scott Brown, with most polls in the last month showing the race leaning her way.

A Rasmussen poll released late Friday gave Warren a five-point edge over Brown, 52-47 percent. The poll surveyed 500 likely voters with a 4.5 percent margin of error. Since the end of September, Warren has steadily increased her lead over Brown in the Rasmussen polls. In a Rasmussen poll conducted on Sept. 24, the two candidates were tied at 48 percent. Warren has won or tied in all but three polls taken since then, with an average lead of 3.7 percent, according to the Real Clear Politics Polling Average of the race.

One of those ties came from a new Boston Globe poll released today. In a poll of 583 likely voters, the candidates were tied at 47 percent each. The poll's margin of error was 4.1 percent. Buoying Brown's hopes are his strong favorability numbers. Despite Massachusetts's liberal reputation, Brown continues to remain popular with the electorate, viewed favorably by 57 percent of respondents, to only 37 percent unfavorable. Warren's popularity has taken a small hit under the brunt of relentless attack ads on her history of private law work. Warren's favorability was 49 percent, down four percent from a previous Globe poll. More importantly, her unfavorability number increased six points, from 36 to 42 percent.

This change seemingly has not hurt her chances. Increasingly, national pundits and political bloggers see the race moving Warren's way. The Washington Post and Rasmussen Reports both categorize the race as "leans Democratic," while the New York Times FiveThirtyEight blog calls it "safe Democratic."

The candidates are scheduled to meet for their fourth and final debate Tuesday night in Boston. The impact of Hurricane Sandy on Boston and Massachusetts may force a postponement. Both candidates have already suspended their campaign appearances ahead of the storm on Monday. The debate is scheduled to take place at 7 p.m. at the WGBH studios just outside Boston. CNN Anchor John King will moderate the hour-long event, which ill be carried live on television by WGBH Channel 2, WCVB Channel 5, New England Cable News, WHDH Channel 7, on the radio by WBUR 90.9 FM, WGBH 89.7 FM, and Bloomberg Radio. The debate will also be live-streamed over the Internet on BostonGlobe.com and Boston.com. At the time of this writing, no decision on whether or not to cancel has been made by the media consortium sponsoring the debate, or if the debate will be rescheduled if it is.

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/elizabeth-warren-momentum-over-scott-brown-only-one-190000253.html

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